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Tunari vs FC Astra

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tunari play FC Astra in the Liga 3 - Seria 4 2022/2023. Tunari are favorites here. Recently, Tunari averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. FC Astra averaged 0.37 goals scored and 5.89 conceded. In past meetings, Tunari won 3, FC Astra won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 26, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Tunari and 1.19 for FC Astra. This points to a Tunari double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Tunari
19%
Draws
14%
FC Astra
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Tunari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tunari picked up more points recently compared to FC Astra.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Tunari Clean Sheet 20%
FC Astra Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunari FC Astra
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 10 0
Draws 8 0
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.84 0.37
Goals Conceded 1.42 5.89

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 4
FC Astra vs Tunari
0:0
Sep 24, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Tunari vs FC Astra
19:0
Aug 16, 2022 Club Friendly
FC Astra vs Tunari
0:7
Jul 21, 2021 Club Friendly
FC Astra vs Tunari
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunari 64 / 100
FC Astra 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunari FC Astra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tunari & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tunari attacking → ← attacking FC Astra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunari scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

FC Astra let in goals in 100% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Tunari went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Astra lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 0
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tunari16131243:1040
2Popesti Leordeni16103329:1633
3Flacara Moreni1672721:2423
4Real Bradu1664622:3622
5CS Din. Bucuresti1664635:3122
6Unirea Bascov1653820:2718
7FCSB 21645732:3517
8FC Pucioasa1636718:2215
9Campulung16241011:3010