Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tunisia U20 vs Kenya U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 30 June Stadium, Cairo
Tunisia U20 Logo

Tunisia U20

3 - 1
FT
Kenya U20 Logo

Kenya U20

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ouma L.
Assist: Beja H.
45' Event
Bousnina F.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Omondi J. In: Owande E.
Out: Omondi J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Tunisia U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tunisia U20
30%
Draws
12%
Kenya U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tunisia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Kenya U20 haven't matched Tunisia U20's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Tunisia U20 taking it.
  • Tunisia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Tunisia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia U20 Kenya U20
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Tunisia U20 vs Kenya U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tunisia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Ali O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Derbali A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Kenya U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouma L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia U20 95 / 100
Kenya U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia U20 Kenya U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tunisia U20 scored in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kenya U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Tunisia U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia U20 VS Kenya U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia U20

(Home)
08 Jun
Tunisia U20
1 : 1
Algeria U20
05 Jun
Tunisia U20
1 : 0
Algeria U20
30 Mar
Tunisia U20
3 : 0
Mauritania U20
27 Mar
Tunisia U20
3 : 2
Mauritania U20
04 Jun
Algeria U20
2 : 1
Tunisia U20
Page 1 of 5

Kenya U20

(Away)
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
24 Apr
Ghana U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
20 Oct
Tanzania U20
2 : 1
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
2 Sierra Leone U20 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Egypt U20 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
4 Zambia U20 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
5 Tanzania U20 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Tunisia U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Kenya U20 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Senegal U20 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 D.R. Congo U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams