Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tunisia U20 vs Morocco U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
Tunisia U20 Logo

Tunisia U20

1 - 3
FT
Morocco U20 Logo

Morocco U20

Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Anane R.
44' Event
Arguigue Safsati A.
Assist: Zahouani F.
46'
Sub
El Haddad S. In: Boayar A.
Out: El Haddad S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Morocco U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tunisia U20
30%
Draws
27%
Morocco U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tunisia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tunisia U20 haven't matched Morocco U20's recent run of results.
  • Tunisia U20 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Morocco U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Tunisia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Morocco U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia U20 Morocco U20
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 16 22
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.6 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Tunisia U20 vs Morocco U20
1:3
Nov 17, 2024 Friendly International
Tunisia U20 vs Morocco U20
1:2
Nov 17, 2023 Friendly International
Tunisia U20 vs Morocco U20
3:1
Feb 26, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Morocco U20 vs Tunisia U20
0:1
Mar 1, 2020 Arab Cup U20
Tunisia U20 vs Morocco U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tunisia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Doubal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Morocco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arguigue Safsati A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakhty S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia U20 46 / 100
Morocco U20 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia U20 Morocco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tunisia U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tunisia U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Morocco U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia U20 VS Morocco U20
1.29 Goals Scored 1.75
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Algeria U20
1 : 1
Tunisia U20
08 Jun
Tunisia U20
1 : 1
Algeria U20
05 Jun
Tunisia U20
1 : 0
Algeria U20
30 Mar
Tunisia U20
3 : 0
Mauritania U20
27 Mar
Tunisia U20
3 : 2
Mauritania U20
Page 1 of 6

Morocco U20

(Away)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Algeria U21
2 : 1
Morocco U20
26 Aug
North Macedonia U21
1 : 5
Morocco U20
24 Aug
Morocco U20
0 : 1
Tunisia U21
22 Aug
Morocco U20
2 : 2
Turkey U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
2 Sierra Leone U20 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Egypt U20 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
4 Zambia U20 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
5 Tanzania U20 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Tunisia U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Kenya U20 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Senegal U20 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 D.R. Congo U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams