Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tunisia U23 vs Congo U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Tunisia U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Tunisia U23
30%
Draws
16%
Congo U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tunisia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tunisia U23 come out ahead of Congo U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tunisia U23 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Tunisia U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tunisia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Congo U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia U23 Congo U23
Matches Played 23 16
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.22 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Tunisia U23 vs Congo U23
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Congo U23 vs Tunisia U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia U23 68 / 100
Congo U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia U23 Congo U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Congo U23 let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.

Tunisia U23 found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (23 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tunisia U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia U23 VS Congo U23
1.88 Goals Scored 0.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia U23

(Home)
13 Jun
Portugal U20
2 : 0
Tunisia U23
10 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 0
Tunisia U23
07 Jun
China U20
0 : 3
Tunisia U23
05 Jun
Saudi Arabia U21
3 : 1
Tunisia U23
31 May
D.R. Congo U20
0 : 3
Tunisia U23
Page 1 of 5

Congo U23

(Away)
30 Jun
Congo U23
0 : 1
Morocco U23
27 Jun
Congo U23
1 : 3
Guinea U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2
Congo U23
27 Mar
Congo U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
23 Mar
South Africa U23
1 : 1
Congo U23
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1