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Tunisia vs Botswana

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Orebonye T.
85' Event
Sliti N.
90' Event
Sliti N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Tunisia and Botswana finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tunisia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tunisia
15%
Draws
85%
Botswana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botswana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Botswana haven't matched Tunisia's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Botswana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 20%
Botswana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia Botswana
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.43 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2025 Friendly International
Tunisia vs Botswana
2:1
Sep 7, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Tunisia vs Botswana
3:0
Jun 5, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Botswana vs Tunisia
0:0
Nov 14, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Botswana vs Tunisia
0:0
Sep 6, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Tunisia vs Botswana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tunisia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sliti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Botswana Compare

Top Goalscorer Orebonye T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia 10 / 100
Botswana 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia Botswana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tunisia scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Botswana has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Botswana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia VS Botswana
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia

(Home)
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
06 Jun
Belgium
5 : 0
Tunisia
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
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Botswana

(Away)
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
30 Dec
Botswana
0 : 3
D.R. Congo
27 Dec
Benin
1 : 0
Botswana
23 Dec
Senegal
3 : 0
Botswana
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