Sport Picks
Tunisia vs Sao Tome and Principe
World
World Championship 2026 Stade Olympique de Rades, Rades 
Match Events
22'
22'
Viegas E.
25'
25'
Silva D.
37'
37'
Meriah Y.
AI Match Summary
The World Championship 2026 game between Tunisia and Sao Tome and Principe finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tunisia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tunisia come out ahead of Sao Tome and Principe on wins alone.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tunisia | Sao Tome and Principe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2025 World Championship
Sao Tome and Principe vs Tunisia
0:6
Nov 17, 2023 World Championship
Tunisia vs Sao Tome and Principe
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tunisia Compare
Top Goalscorer Meriah Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Msakni Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Sao Tome and Principe Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tunisia 36 / 100
Sao Tome and Principe 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tunisia Sao Tome and Principe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PRN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Tome and Principe has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Tunisia found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Difficult form: Sao Tome and Principe registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tunisia VS Sao Tome and Principe
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tunisia
(Home) 25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3 Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4 Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1 Tunisia
06 Jun
Belgium
5 : 0 Tunisia
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0 Tunisia
Page 1 of 7
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3 Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4 Japan
23 Dec
Tunisia
3 : 1 Uganda
18 Dec
Tunisia
2 : 1 Botswana
01 Dec
Tunisia
0 : 1 Syria
Page 1 of 3
Sao Tome and Principe
(Away) 31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3 Ethiopia
13 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
1 : 0 Malawi
10 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 6 Tunisia
09 Sept
Namibia
3 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
09 Sept
Namibia
3 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
24 Mar
Liberia
2 : 1 Sao Tome and Principe
21 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
2 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
06 Jun
Malawi
3 : 1 Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20:2 | 26 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 4 | Guinea Bissau | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 5 | Ethiopia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 6 | Djibouti | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5:33 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 22:3 | 24 |
| 2 | D.R. Congo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Sudan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Togo | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5:10 | 8 |
| 5 | Mauritania | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4:13 | 7 |
| 6 | South Sudan | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:19 | 5 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Benin | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 4 | Lesotho | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 5 | Rwanda | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5:9 | 11 |
| 6 | Zimbabwe | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5:12 | 5 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cape Verde | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17:5 | 19 |
| 3 | Libya | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Angola | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Mauritius | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 6 | Eswatini | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:19 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22:2 | 24 |
| 2 | Niger | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Tanzania | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Zambia | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Congo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
| 6 | Eritrea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 25:0 | 26 |
| 2 | Gabon | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Gambia | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 27:18 | 13 |
| 4 | Kenya | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 12 |
| 5 | Burundi | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Seychelles | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2:53 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Uganda | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:17 | 18 |
| 4 | Guinea | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Botswana | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 6 | Somalia | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:20 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tunisia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 22:0 | 28 |
| 2 | Namibia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Liberia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Malawi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Equatorial Guinea | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 6 | Sao Tome and Principe | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5:26 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ghana | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Madagascar | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 19 |
| 3 | Mali | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Comoros | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 5 | Central Africa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 6 | Chad | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5:24 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)