Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tunisia W vs Kenya W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tunisia W
15%
Draws
28%
Kenya W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tunisia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tunisia W come out ahead of Kenya W on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Tunisia W taking it.
  • Tunisia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kenya W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Tunisia W Clean Sheet 68%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tunisia W Kenya W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Tunisia W vs Kenya W
0:1
Feb 21, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Tunisia W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tunisia W 77 / 100
Kenya W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tunisia W Kenya W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Kenya W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Kenya W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tunisia W VS Kenya W
1.67 Goals Scored 0.63
1.17 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia W

(Home)
08 Jun
Egypt W
3 : 2
Tunisia W
05 Jun
Egypt W
2 : 1
Tunisia W
16 Apr
Tunisia W
2 : 1
Comoros W
12 Apr
Tunisia W
1 : 0
Benin W
01 Nov
Chad W
1 : 0
Tunisia W
Page 1 of 6

Kenya W

(Away)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -