Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuntum vs Luminense

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Maranhao L.
87' Event
Bismarck
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Luminense in this Maranhense matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luminense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tuntum
28%
Draws
22%
Luminense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tuntum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tuntum at 1.25 per game, Luminense at 0.88.
  • Tuntum are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Maranhense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Tuntum Clean Sheet 20%
Luminense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuntum Luminense
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Maranhense
Tuntum vs Luminense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuntum Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Luminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Maranhao L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuntum 49 / 100
Luminense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuntum Luminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuntum found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tuntum has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Luminense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tuntum VS Luminense
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuntum

(Home)
11 Feb
Tuntum
1 : 2
Imperatriz
07 Feb
Imperatriz
2 : 2
Tuntum
01 Feb
Moto Club
2 : 2
Tuntum
28 Jan
Tuntum
1 : 1
Sampaio Correa
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
Page 1 of 6

Luminense

(Away)
01 Feb
Maranhao
1 : 0
Luminense
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
Sampaio Correa
1 : 1
Luminense
22 Jan
Luminense
0 : 1
IAPE
18 Jan
Luminense
0 : 3
Moto Club
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 7 3 4 0 10:4 13
2 Maranhao 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
3 Sampaio Correa 7 2 5 0 13:5 11
4 IAPE 7 3 2 2 4:3 11
5 Luminense 7 3 1 3 6:6 10
6 Tuntum 7 2 3 2 8:9 9
7 Imperatriz 7 1 3 3 2:5 6
8 ITZ Sport 7 0 1 6 1:14 1
Promotion - Maranhense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense (Relegation)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 2027 (Main)