Sport Picks
Match Events
66'
66'
Ze Luiz
Own Goal
80'
80'
Joao Prata
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Tupa and America SP finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Tupa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives America SP a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tupa Clean Sheet 12%
America SP Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tupa | America SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.67 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Tupa
3:1
May 2, 2026 Paulista B
Tupa vs America SP
2:0
May 26, 2019 Paulista A4
America SP vs Tupa
0:1
Apr 12, 2019 Paulista A4
Tupa vs America SP
1:0
Mar 27, 2014 Paulista A3
Tupa vs America SP
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tupa Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Prata
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34
America SP Compare
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tupa 10 / 100
America SP 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tupa America SP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick America SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tupa found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
America SP has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Tupa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tupa VS America SP
0.71 Goals Scored 1.75
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.63
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tupa
(Home) 05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2 Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1 Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1 Tupa
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2 Santa Fe SP
30 May
Tupa
1 : 1 Assisense
09 May
Tupa
2 : 0 Riopretano
02 May
Tupa
2 : 0 America SP
Page 1 of 3
America SP
(Away) 16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1 Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4 America SP
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4 America SP
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
12 Jun
Santa Fe SP
1 : 3 America SP
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
