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Tupa vs Assisense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2020
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AI Match Summary

Tupa in this Paulista A4 2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tupa
20%
Draws
50%
Assisense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Assisense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Tupa have won more games recently than Assisense.
  • Win probability leans Assisense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tupa Clean Sheet 16%
Assisense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupa Assisense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Paulista B
Tupa vs Assisense
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Paulista B
Assisense vs Tupa
3:2
Jun 8, 2025 Paulista B
Tupa vs Assisense
1:2
May 2, 2025 Paulista B
Assisense vs Tupa
2:3
Nov 8, 2020 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Assisense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupa 23 / 100
Assisense 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupa Assisense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Assisense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupa scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Assisense conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Tupa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupa VS Assisense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupa

(Home)
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0
Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1
Tupa
Page 1 of 6

Assisense

(Away)
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0
Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bandeirante 8 6 2 0 21:3 20
2 Andradina Esporte Clube 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
3 America SP 8 3 1 4 8:8 10
4 Tanabi 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
5 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 0 6 3:15 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 5 3 0 18:6 18
2 Osvaldo Cruz 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
3 Vocem 8 3 3 2 12:5 12
4 Tupa 8 3 2 3 8:13 11
5 Assisense 8 0 1 7 4:18 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 XV de Jau 8 3 4 1 11:7 13
3 Sao-Carlense 8 2 5 1 10:8 11
4 Inter de Bebedouro 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
5 Matonense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 8 5 2 1 13:10 17
2 Rio Branco SP 8 3 4 1 12:7 13
3 AA Itarare 8 4 1 3 15:9 13
4 Uniao Barbarense 8 2 1 5 10:13 7
5 Elosport 8 1 2 5 8:19 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amparo SP 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
2 Itapirense 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
3 Flamengo SP 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
4 Brasilis 8 2 4 2 11:11 10
5 Guarulhos 8 3 0 5 11:14 9
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 8 7 0 1 26:8 21
2 Manthiqueira 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
3 Uniao Suzano 8 3 2 3 18:11 11
4 Uniao Mogi 8 2 3 3 17:13 9
5 Atletico Mogi 8 0 0 8 2:38 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jabaquara 8 5 1 2 10:3 16
2 Maua FC 8 4 2 2 10:4 14
3 SKA Brasil 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
4 Mauaense 8 2 4 2 10:9 10
5 Barcelona SP 8 0 2 6 4:21 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams