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Tupa vs CA Paulistinha

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2013 game between Tupa and CA Paulistinha finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tupa
33%
Draws
27%
CA Paulistinha
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tupa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Paulistinha have managed 0 goals a game lately — Tupa are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Model gives Tupa a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tupa Clean Sheet 16%
CA Paulistinha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupa CA Paulistinha
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2013 Paulista A4
Tupa vs CA Paulistinha
3:0
Sep 26, 2013 Paulista A4
CA Paulistinha vs Tupa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupa 39 / 100
CA Paulistinha 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupa CA Paulistinha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupa scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

CA Paulistinha has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: CA Paulistinha registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupa VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupa

(Home)
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0
Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1
Tupa
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CA Paulistinha

(Away)
13 Oct
CA Paulistinha
2 : 4
Lemense
09 Oct
Tupa
3 : 0
CA Paulistinha
06 Oct
Matonense
5 : 2
CA Paulistinha
29 Sept
CA Paulistinha
1 : 0
Matonense
26 Sept
CA Paulistinha
1 : 1
Tupa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Matonense640215:512
2Tupa631211:1010
3Lemense63037:109
4CA Paulistinha61146:144
Promotion - Paulista A4 2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Agua Santa632112:611
2Cotia62318:69
3Inter de Bebedouro621314:157
4Assisense61236:135
Promotion - Paulista A4 2013 (Play Offs)