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Tupa vs Riopretano Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bruno Jesus
59' Event
Kauan Gomes

AI Match Summary

Tupa in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tupa
20%
Draws
50%
Riopretano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Riopretano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Riopretano haven't matched Tupa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tupa Clean Sheet 20%
Riopretano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupa Riopretano
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 13 1
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Paulista B
Riopretano vs Tupa
0:1
May 9, 2026 Paulista B
Tupa vs Riopretano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupa Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Jesus
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Gomes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Riopretano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupa 32 / 100
Riopretano 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupa Riopretano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riopretano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tupa scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Riopretano let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tupa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupa VS Riopretano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupa

(Home)
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0
Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1
Tupa
Page 1 of 6

Riopretano

(Away)
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
07 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 1
Riopretano
30 May
America SP
2 : 0
Riopretano
24 May
Riopretano
2 : 1
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)