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Tupan vs Araioses Prediction & H2H Stats

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Maranhense 2
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AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 game between Tupan and Araioses finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Tupan
35%
Draws
45%
Araioses
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Araioses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Tupan haven't matched Araioses's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Araioses a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Tupan Clean Sheet 15%
Araioses Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupan Araioses
Matches Played 19 10
Wins 2 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 0
Goals Scored 0.74 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Araioses
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupan 11 / 100
Araioses 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupan Araioses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araioses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tupan scored in 47% of their last 19 games.

Araioses has conceded goals in 30% of their last 10 outings.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tupan VS Araioses
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupan

(Home)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 4

Araioses

(Away)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
1 : 1
Araioses
18 Jul
Araioses
1 : 0
Timon EC (MA)
15 Jul
Araioses
2 : 0
Cordino EC
11 Jul
Cordino EC
1 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)