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Tupan vs Sao Luis

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 2025 game between Tupan and Sao Luis finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tupan
30%
Draws
41%
Sao Luis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Luis come out ahead of Tupan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sao Luis a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tupan Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupan Sao Luis
Matches Played 19 25
Wins 2 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.74 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Tupan
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Sao Luis
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Tupan
3:0
Oct 18, 2024 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Sao Luis
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupan 11 / 100
Sao Luis 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupan Sao Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Tupan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Tupan scored in 47% of their last 19 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tupan VS Sao Luis
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupan

(Home)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 4

Sao Luis

(Away)
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Jun
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luminense 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Sao Luis 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Americano Bacabal 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
4 Tupan 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
5 Expressinho 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Timon EC (MA) 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ITZ Sport 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Cordino EC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Balsas 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)