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Stadium Background

Tupan vs Timon EC (MA)

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Tupan
35%
Draws
40%
Timon EC (MA)
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Timon EC (MA)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Timon EC (MA) lately — more wins on the board than Tupan.
  • Win probability leans Timon EC (MA)'s way, sitting at 80%.
  • Timon EC (MA) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Timon EC (MA), who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tupan Clean Sheet 18%
Timon EC (MA) Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupan Timon EC (MA)
Matches Played 19 20
Wins 2 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.74 1
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Maranhense 2
Timon EC (MA) vs Tupan
5:1
Jul 11, 2026 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Timon EC (MA)
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupan 12 / 100
Timon EC (MA) 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupan Timon EC (MA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timon EC (MA) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: Tupan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tupan scored in 47% of their last 19 games.

Timon EC (MA) let in goals in 55% of their last 20 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupan VS Timon EC (MA)
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupan

(Home)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 4

Timon EC (MA)

(Away)
22 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
1 : 1
Araioses
18 Jul
Araioses
1 : 0
Timon EC (MA)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
27 Jun
Timon EC (MA)
0 : 0
Cordino EC
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Pinheiro 2
Sao Luis 1
Expressinho 2
Lago Verde 6
Cordino EC 1
Araioses 3
Tupan 1
Timon EC (MA) 6
Semi-finals
Pinheiro 2
Lago Verde 4
Araioses 2
Timon EC (MA) 1
Final
Lago Verde 1
Araioses 2