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Tupapa vs ABM Galaxy Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League Govind Park, Ba
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Viliamu K.
Own Goal
34'
Namatak H.
36'
Sub
Aperau J. In: Gibbens M.
Out: Aperau J.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League game between Tupapa and ABM Galaxy finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ABM Galaxy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tupapa
15%
Draws
64%
ABM Galaxy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ABM Galaxy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tupapa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on ABM Galaxy taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%
ABM Galaxy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupapa ABM Galaxy
Matches Played 27 12
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 2.15 2.67
Goals Conceded 3.7 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs ABM Galaxy
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rimene-Albrett T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

ABM Galaxy Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Medina W.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Moses J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 10 / 100
ABM Galaxy 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupapa ABM Galaxy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABM Galaxy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tupapa scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: ABM Galaxy conceded in 75% of 12 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tupapa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS ABM Galaxy
4 Goals Scored 4
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupapa

(Home)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
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ABM Galaxy

(Away)
19 Aug
ABM Galaxy
2 : 3
Central Coast
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Lae City
1 : 3
ABM Galaxy
09 Aug
ABM Galaxy
4 : 1
Rewa
10 Aug
Venus
0 : 1
ABM Galaxy
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Central Coast 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tiga Sport 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
4 Venus 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABM Galaxy 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Rewa 3 2 0 1 7:7 6
3 Lae City 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 4:15 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)