Sport Picks

Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023

Match Events

13'

McCoy J.

22'

Porter P.

32'

Saghabi T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tupapa host Ilaoa and To'omata in the OFC Champions League 2023. Tupapa are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Tupapa at 1.5 goals for, 1.63 against; Ilaoa and To'omata at 0 for, 7 against. Head-to-head, Tupapa have won 1 to Ilaoa and To'omata's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2023, ending 8:0. The numbers (4.00 xG vs 1.31) point toward Tupapa. Tupapa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Tupapa

Draws

Ilaoa and To'omata

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tupapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tupapa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ilaoa and To'omata.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tupapa.
League standings and seasonal metrics in OFC Champions League 2023 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Tupapa Clean Sheet 18%

Ilaoa and To'omata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tupapa	Ilaoa and To'omata
Matches Played	29	2
Wins	14	0
Draws	4	0
Losses	11	2
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	7
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	7.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2023 OFC Champions League

Tupapa vs Ilaoa and To'omata

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer McCoy J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Saghabi T.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Ilaoa and To'omata Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 85 / 100

Ilaoa and To'omata 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tupapa Ilaoa and To'omata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupapa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Ilaoa and To'omata let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Tupapa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ilaoa and To'omata lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS Ilaoa and To'omata

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 7

50% Over 1.5 67%

50% Over 2.5 67%

50% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Lupe ole Soaga	3	3	0	29:1	9
2	Tupapa	3	2	1	10:7	6
3	Veitongo	2	0	2	0:10	0
4	Ilaoa and To'omata	2	0	2	0:21	0