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Stadium Background

Tupapa vs Kiwi

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019
Tupapa Logo

Tupapa

4 - 1
FT
Kiwi Logo

Kiwi

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Simiona H.
18' Event
Harmon G.
22' Event
Diaz F.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2019 game between Tupapa and Kiwi finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tupapa
15%
Draws
51%
Kiwi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiwi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Tupapa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Tupapa taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 20%
Kiwi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupapa Kiwi
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 0
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.03 2.48
Goals Conceded 3.53 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Kiwi
4:1
Jan 29, 2016 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Kiwi
1:2
Oct 20, 2013 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Kiwi
0:3
May 3, 2012 OFC Champions League
Kiwi vs Tupapa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Simiona H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harmon G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Kiwi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 85 / 100
Kiwi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupapa Kiwi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiwi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tupapa scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Kiwi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupapa

(Home)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

Kiwi

(Away)
01 Mar
Ba
5 : 1
Kiwi
26 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 13
Team Wellington
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupapa 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Kiwi 3 2 0 1 14:8 6
3 Lotohaapai 3 1 0 2 7:14 3
4 Pago Youth 3 0 0 3 5:11 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Main)