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Tupapa vs Magenta

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2020
Sun, Mar 1, 2020
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tupapa host Magenta in the OFC Champions League 2020. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Magenta have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Tupapa have conceded 3.7 and scored 2.15. Past meetings favor Magenta slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.99 vs 2.42, favoring Magenta. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tupapa
20%
Draws
51%
Magenta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tupapa haven't matched Magenta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Magenta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%
Magenta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupapa Magenta
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.15 2.39
Goals Conceded 3.7 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.99 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2020 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Magenta
0:0
Mar 2, 2019 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Tupapa
10:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 10 / 100
Magenta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupapa Magenta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magenta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Tupapa's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Magenta conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Tupapa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS Magenta
3.13 Goals Scored 1.71
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 57%
100% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupapa

(Home)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

Magenta

(Away)
15 Nov
Magenta
0 : 3
Mulhouse
23 May
Auckland City
1 : 0
Magenta
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
19 May
Magenta
0 : 0
Pirae
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 ABM Galaxy 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 PNG Hekari 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Hienghene Sport 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malampa Revivors 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Henderson Eels 3 1 2 0 8:7 5
3 Lae City 3 1 1 1 10:6 4
4 Lautoka 3 0 1 2 3:11 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Solomon Warriors 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Tiare 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
4 Tupapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Venus 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 Lupe ole Soaga 3 1 0 2 4:11 3
4 Ba 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Play Offs)