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Tupapa vs Mont Dore Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mont Dore in this OFC Champions League 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tupapa
20%
Draws
16%
Mont Dore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tupapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tupapa lately — more wins on the board than Mont Dore.
  • Model gives Tupapa a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Tupapa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mont Dore, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 20%
Mont Dore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupapa Mont Dore
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 10 1
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2.11 0.95
Goals Conceded 3.68 3.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2012 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Mont Dore
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 85 / 100
Mont Dore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupapa Mont Dore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mont Dore let in goals in 100% of their last 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Tupapa found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Mont Dore lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupapa

(Home)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
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Mont Dore

(Away)
28 Apr
Mont Dore
2 : 3
Waitakere United
24 Apr
AS Dragon
1 : 1
Mont Dore
17 Apr
Waitakere United
3 : 1
Mont Dore
13 Apr
Auckland City
12 : 2
Mont Dore
05 Apr
Mont Dore
1 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Tupapa 1
Mont Dore 3