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Tupapa vs Pago Youth

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Pati W.
47' Event
Fauzul A.
89' Event
Simiona H.

AI Match Summary

Tupapa in this OFC Champions League 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tupapa
39%
Draws
30%
Pago Youth
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tupapa have won more games recently than Pago Youth.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tupapa have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 18%
Pago Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupapa Pago Youth
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 14 0
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Tupapa
0:3
Feb 2, 2019 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Pago Youth
2:1
Jan 27, 2018 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Tupapa
0:5
Oct 18, 2013 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Tupapa
1:11
May 5, 2012 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Pago Youth
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fauzul A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simiona H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pago Youth Compare

Top Goalscorer Pati W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupapa 32 / 100
Pago Youth 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupapa Pago Youth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pago Youth conceded in 100% of 14 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Tupapa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Tupapa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tupapa VS Pago Youth
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tupapa330010:39
2Kiwi320114:86
3Lotohaapai31027:143
4Pago Youth30035:110