Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tupy FC vs Rio Verde

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ribeiro da Costa B.
40' Event
Alan Junior
44' Event
Castro N.

AI Match Summary

Tupy FC host Rio Verde in the Goiano 2 2025. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Tupy FC have averaged 1.25 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Rio Verde's 0.63 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Tupy FC have won 1 to Rio Verde's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 29, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.81, favoring Rio Verde. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tupy FC
33%
Draws
40%
Rio Verde
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Verde has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tupy FC.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Rio Verde.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Goiano 2 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 26%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy FC Rio Verde
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Rio Verde
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Tupy FC
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Goiano 3
Rio Verde vs Tupy FC
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Goiano 3
Tupy FC vs Rio Verde
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Goiano 3
Tupy FC vs Rio Verde
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tupy FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro da Costa B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rio Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Alan Junior
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy FC 30 / 100
Rio Verde 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy FC Rio Verde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupy FC scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Rio Verde let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Tupy FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rio Verde lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tupy FC VS Rio Verde
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Anapolina1477020:728
2Centro Oeste1474318:1025
3Rio Verde1457215:1222
4Trindade1463522:1721
5Tupy FC1437417:1716
6Gremio Anapolis1436513:1715
7Morrinhos1426610:1612
8Ipora1414913:327