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Tupy vs Pinheiros

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
Tupy Logo

Tupy

1 - 0
FT
Pinheiros Logo

Pinheiros

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tupy in this Capixaba 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tupy
15%
Draws
0%
Pinheiros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tupy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tupy average 1.27 goals a game right now, well clear of Pinheiros's 1.19.
  • Win probability leans Tupy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tupy Clean Sheet 18%
Pinheiros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy Pinheiros
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 2
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.27 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Capixaba 2
Pinheiros vs Tupy
1:4
Jul 11, 2026 Capixaba 2
Tupy vs Pinheiros
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy 85 / 100
Pinheiros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy Pinheiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pinheiros conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Pinheiros lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Tupy's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tupy VS Pinheiros
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupy

(Home)
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Aug
Rive
1 : 1
Tupy
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
25 Jul
Tupy
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
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Pinheiros

(Away)
29 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Rive
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)