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Tupy vs Rive

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
0 - 2
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rive in this Capixaba 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tupy
40%
Draws
29%
Rive
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tupy lately — more wins on the board than Rive.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tupy Clean Sheet 19%
Rive Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy Rive
Matches Played 29 2
Wins 6 1
Draws 10 0
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.38 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Capixaba 2
Tupy vs Rive
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy 32 / 100
Rive 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy Rive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Tupy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tupy's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rive has conceded goals in 50% of their last 2 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tupy VS Rive
1.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupy

(Home)
18 Jul
Tupy
0 : 2
Rive
11 Jul
Tupy
1 : 0
Pinheiros
26 Oct
GEL
1 : 1
Tupy
20 Oct
Tupy
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
13 Oct
Tupy
4 : 3
Sport-ES
Page 1 of 6

Rive

(Away)
18 Jul
Tupy
0 : 2
Rive
12 Jul
Rive
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linhares Futebol Clube22004:06
2Doze Futebol Clube21013:23
3GEL10101:11
4CTE Colatina20111:41
5Audax Sao Mateus10010:20
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estrela do Norte11002:03
2Sport-ES11001:03
3Rive21012:23
4Tupy21011:23
5Pinheiros20020:20
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)