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Tupy vs Rive

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
0 - 2
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rive in this Capixaba 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tupy
30%
Draws
43%
Rive
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rive at 1.67 per game, Tupy at 1.17.
  • Model gives Rive a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tupy Clean Sheet 12%
Rive Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tupy Rive
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 2
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.17 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Capixaba 2
Rive vs Tupy
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 Capixaba 2
Tupy vs Rive
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tupy 10 / 100
Rive 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tupy Rive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rive Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupy scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tupy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Rive has conceded goals in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tupy VS Rive
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tupy

(Home)
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Aug
Rive
1 : 1
Tupy
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
25 Jul
Tupy
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
Page 1 of 6

Rive

(Away)
05 Sept
Rive
1 : 0
Linhares Futebol Clube
29 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Rive
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Aug
Rive
1 : 1
Tupy
08 Aug
Estrela do Norte
1 : 1
Rive
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)