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Turan vs FC Astana 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Oralbay E.
Assist: Kenesov A.
17' Event
Oralbay E.
Assist: Murzagaliyev T.
51' Event
Turlybek M.
Assist: Kenesov A.

AI Match Summary

Turan in this First League matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Turan
20%
Draws
28%
FC Astana 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Turan have won more games recently than FC Astana 2.
  • Model gives Turan a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Turan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Turan Clean Sheet 15%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan FC Astana 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.37 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 First League
Turan vs FC Astana 2
5:1
May 7, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
0:3
Oct 19, 2023 First League
Turan vs FC Astana 2
8:0
Jul 7, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
1:3
Oct 16, 2020 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Oralbay E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Turlybek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tolendi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 84 / 100
FC Astana 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan FC Astana 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: FC Astana 2 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Solid form: Turan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS FC Astana 2
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
09 Oct
Jaiyq
1 : 1
Turan
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
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FC Astana 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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