Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turan vs Sabah Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turan host Sabah Baku in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Turan have averaged 1.19 scored and 0.74 conceded recently, against Sabah Baku's 2.23 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Turan have won 1 to Sabah Baku's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.81 - 1.63) back Sabah Baku to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Turan
20%
Draws
52%
Sabah Baku
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabah Baku lately — more wins on the board than Turan.
  • Model gives Sabah Baku a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sabah Baku here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Turan Clean Sheet 14%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Sabah Baku
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 16 28
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.19 2.23
Goals Conceded 0.74 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Sabah Baku
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Sabah Baku
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Turan
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Turan vs Sabah Baku
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Turan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 11 / 100
Sabah Baku 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Sabah Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabah Baku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Turan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sabah Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 39 matches.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Sabah Baku
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
18 Oct
Imisli FK
1 : 0
Turan
11 Oct
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Turan
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
Page 1 of 7

Sabah Baku

(Away)
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4
Sabah Baku
13 Oct
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Slavia Prague
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 7 6 1 0 18:1 19
2 Neftci Baku 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
3 Qarabag Agdam 7 5 2 0 14:7 17
4 Turan 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
5 Shamakhi 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
6 Zira FK 8 3 3 2 9:10 12
7 Kapaz 7 3 2 2 7:8 11
8 SumQayit FK 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
9 Imisli FK 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Gabala 8 1 1 6 3:15 4
11 Safa Baku 8 1 0 7 4:15 3
12 Araz PFK 8 0 2 6 6:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)