Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turan vs Sahdag Qusar

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turan in this First Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Turan
35%
Draws
38%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Sahdag Qusar haven't matched Turan's recent run of results.
  • Sahdag Qusar are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular First Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Turan Clean Sheet 18%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 42 39
Wins 26 20
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.74 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Sahdag Qusar vs Turan
1:2
Apr 21, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Turan
1:1
Nov 17, 2016 I Liqa
Turan vs Sahdag Qusar
1:0
Mar 12, 2016 I Liqa
Turan vs Sahdag Qusar
1:1
Oct 8, 2015 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Turan
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 20 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (42 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Turan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sahdag Qusar conceded in 54% of 39 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Sahdag Qusar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
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Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turan 26 18 7 1 62:11 61
2 Sabail 26 18 3 5 80:25 57
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 16 5 5 63:21 53
4 Lokbatan 26 17 1 8 64:31 52
5 Zaqatala PFK 26 15 4 7 69:31 49
6 Shamkir 26 15 3 8 41:20 48
7 Imisli FK 26 13 5 8 53:33 44
8 MOIK Baku 26 10 6 10 47:31 36
9 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 36:45 30
10 Sharurspor 26 7 4 15 36:51 25
11 Mingachevir 26 5 5 16 25:86 20
12 Bakili Baku 26 3 2 21 30:99 11
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 2 4 20 20:99 10
14 Ravan 26 6 1 19 24:67 10
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)