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Turan vs SumQayit FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
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Match Events

9' Event
Vasquez R.
19'
Vasquez R.
20' Event
Jo Batista

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Turan and SumQayit FK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Turan
30%
Draws
16%
SumQayit FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Turan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan SumQayit FK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.2 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs SumQayit FK
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs SumQayit FK
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs SumQayit FK
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Turan
0:3
May 17, 2025 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Turan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jo Batista
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SumQayit FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 41 / 100
SumQayit FK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan SumQayit FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

SumQayit FK has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Turan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS SumQayit FK
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
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SumQayit FK

(Away)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
16 Aug
SumQayit FK
1 : 3
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
8 Gabala 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
9 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
10 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
11 SumQayit FK 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)