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Turan vs Zira FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Tovuz şəhər stadionu, Tovuz
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Aliyev Q.
22' Event
Sadykhov R.
57'
Sub
Nuriyev A. In: Ibrahimli I.
Out: Nuriyev A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Turan and Zira FK finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Turan
30%
Draws
33%
Zira FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Turan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Turan Clean Sheet 68%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Zira FK
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.26 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.81 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Zira FK
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Zira FK
1:1
Apr 21, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Zira FK vs Turan
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Turan vs Zira FK
0:2
Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Turan vs Zira FK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadykhov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Zira FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Volkovi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 59 / 100
Zira FK 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Zira FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Turan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Zira FK let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Zira FK
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
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Zira FK

(Away)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)