Sport Picks

Albania

First Division 2022/2023

Turbina Cerrik

1 - 0

Apolonia Fier

Our Tip

Match Events

58'

Basit Abiodun Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Turbina Cerrik and Apolonia Fier finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turbina Cerrik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Turbina Cerrik

17%

Draws

70%

Apolonia Fier

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Turbina Cerrik carry the better recent record into this one.
70% — that's where the model lands on Apolonia Fier taking it.
Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 20%

Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Turbina Cerrik	Apolonia Fier
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	8	7
Draws	4	7
Losses	18	18
Goals Scored	0	0.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Turbina Cerrik vs Apolonia Fier

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Sep 10, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Apolonia Fier vs Turbina Cerrik

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

5:2

Apr 2, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Turbina Cerrik vs Apolonia Fier

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Nov 24, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Apolonia Fier vs Turbina Cerrik

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Nov 1, 2020 Albanian Cup

Apolonia Fier vs Turbina Cerrik

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 4 - 4

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Top Goalscorer Basit Abiodun Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Apolonia Fier Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turbina Cerrik 16 / 100

Apolonia Fier 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Turbina Cerrik Apolonia Fier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Turbina Cerrik scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Apolonia Fier conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Apolonia Fier has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Apolonia Fier

0 Goals Scored 0.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Skenderbeu Korca	26	13	10	3	37:13	49
2	Dinamo Tirana	26	14	5	7	48:23	47
3	Flamurtari	26	13	7	6	40:16	46
4	Tomori Berat	26	13	4	9	29:27	43
5	Korabi Peshkopi	26	10	9	7	32:24	39
6	Apolonia Fier	26	10	8	8	31:30	38
7	Luzi	26	10	8	8	31:26	38
8	Besa Kavaje	26	10	7	9	32:26	37
9	Lushnja	26	8	8	10	30:42	32
10	Burreli	26	7	10	9	22:29	31
11	KF Oriku	26	9	3	14	27:33	30
12	Turbina Cerrik	26	7	5	14	24:45	26
13	Beselidhja Lezha	26	3	8	15	17:41	14
14	Terbuni Puka	26	6	6	14	16:41	24