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Turbina Cerrik vs Apolonia Fier Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Basit Abiodun Y.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Turbina Cerrik and Apolonia Fier finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turbina Cerrik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Turbina Cerrik
20%
Draws
32%
Apolonia Fier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turbina Cerrik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Turbina Cerrik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Apolonia Fier taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 20%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turbina Cerrik Apolonia Fier
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Apolonia Fier
1:0
Sep 10, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Turbina Cerrik
5:2
Apr 2, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Apolonia Fier
2:1
Nov 24, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Turbina Cerrik
2:0
Nov 1, 2020 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Turbina Cerrik
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Top Goalscorer Basit Abiodun Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Apolonia Fier Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turbina Cerrik 16 / 100
Apolonia Fier 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turbina Cerrik Apolonia Fier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apolonia Fier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Turbina Cerrik scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Apolonia Fier conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Apolonia Fier has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Apolonia Fier
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turbina Cerrik

(Home)
16 Oct
AF Elbasani
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
06 Dec
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
18 Oct
Turbina Cerrik
4 : 0
Koplik
18 May
Turbina Cerrik
1 : 2
Tomori Berat
07 May
Burreli
4 : 1
Turbina Cerrik
Page 1 of 6

Apolonia Fier

(Away)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)