Sport Picks

Albania

First Division 2022/2023

Lushnja

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Turbina Cerrik play Lushnja in the First Division 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Turbina Cerrik averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Lushnja averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, Turbina Cerrik won 0, Lushnja won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 18, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Turbina Cerrik and 0.86 for Lushnja. This points to a Lushnja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Turbina Cerrik

31%

Draws

39%

Lushnja

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Turbina Cerrik picked up more points recently compared to Lushnja.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 25%

Lushnja Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Turbina Cerrik	Lushnja
Matches Played	30	41
Wins	8	13
Draws	4	9
Losses	18	19
Goals Scored	0.97	1.15
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.44

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Turbina Cerrik vs Lushnja

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Oct 22, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Lushnja vs Turbina Cerrik

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Mar 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Turbina Cerrik vs Lushnja

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Nov 7, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Lushnja vs Turbina Cerrik

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

May 26, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Lushnja vs Turbina Cerrik

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Top Goalscorer Zani K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Lushnja Compare

Top Goalscorer Canka M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turbina Cerrik 32 / 100

Lushnja 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Turbina Cerrik Lushnja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lushnja or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turbina Cerrik attacking → ← attacking Lushnja

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turbina Cerrik scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Lushnja let in goals in 68% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Turbina Cerrik went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lushnja lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 48

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Skenderbeu Korca	26	13	10	3	37:13	49
2	Dinamo Tirana	26	14	5	7	48:23	47
3	Flamurtari	26	13	7	6	40:16	46
4	Tomori Berat	26	13	4	9	29:27	43
5	Korabi Peshkopi	26	10	9	7	32:24	39
6	Apolonia Fier	26	10	8	8	31:30	38
7	Luzi	26	10	8	8	31:26	38
8	Besa Kavaje	26	10	7	9	32:26	37
9	Lushnja	26	8	8	10	30:42	32
10	Burreli	26	7	10	9	22:29	31
11	KF Oriku	26	9	3	14	27:33	30
12	Turbina Cerrik	26	7	5	14	24:45	26
13	Beselidhja Lezha	26	3	8	15	17:41	14
14	Terbuni Puka	26	6	6	14	16:41	24