Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turbina Cerrik vs Tomori Berat

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Alinani K.
62' Event
Ndrejaj F.
80' Event
Alinani K.

AI Match Summary

Turbina Cerrik host Tomori Berat in the First Division 2022/2023. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Turbina Cerrik at 0 goals for, 4 against; Tomori Berat at 0.88 for, 2.25 against. Past meetings favor Tomori Berat slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 18, 2023, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.73 vs 2.44, favoring Turbina Cerrik. Turbina Cerrik in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Turbina Cerrik
6%
Draws
4%
Tomori Berat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Turbina Cerrik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Turbina Cerrik has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tomori Berat.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Turbina Cerrik.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First Division 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 68%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turbina Cerrik Tomori Berat
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 5
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 4 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Tomori Berat
1:2
Jan 28, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Turbina Cerrik
2:0
Apr 30, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Tomori Berat
4:3
Dec 18, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Turbina Cerrik
4:0
Mar 13, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Tomori Berat
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndrejaj F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Alinani K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turbina Cerrik 95 / 100
Tomori Berat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turbina Cerrik Tomori Berat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turbina Cerrik scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tomori Berat let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Turbina Cerrik went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tomori Berat lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turbina Cerrik VS Tomori Berat
0 Goals Scored 0.88
4 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skenderbeu Korca261310337:1349
2Dinamo Tirana26145748:2347
3Flamurtari26137640:1646
4Tomori Berat26134929:2743
5Korabi Peshkopi26109732:2439
6Apolonia Fier26108831:3038
7Luzi26108831:2638
8Besa Kavaje26107932:2637
9Lushnja26881030:4232
10Burreli26710922:2931
11KF Oriku26931427:3330
12Turbina Cerrik26751424:4526
13Beselidhja Lezha26381517:4114
14Terbuni Puka26661416:4124