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Turegano vs Arandina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8
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Match Events

5' Event
Rogero A.
54' Event
Washington A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Turegano
35%
Draws
52%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Arandina have won more games recently than Turegano.
  • Win probability leans Arandina's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Turegano Clean Sheet 18%
Arandina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turegano Arandina
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 1 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.16
Goals Conceded 2 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Turegano vs Arandina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turegano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Arandina Compare

Top Goalscorer Washington A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turegano 28 / 100
Arandina 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turegano Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arandina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Turegano scored in 60% of their last 10 outings.

Arandina let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Turegano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turegano VS Arandina
0.71 Goals Scored 1.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turegano

(Home)
03 Oct
Turegano
1 : 1
Arandina
26 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca B
0 : 0
Turegano
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3
Guijuelo
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
Page 1 of 2

Arandina

(Away)
03 Oct
Turegano
1 : 1
Arandina
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Palencia CA 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Leonesa B 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Bembibre 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
6 La Virgen 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
7 Mansilles 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
8 Arandina 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
9 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Almazan 6 1 4 1 10:12 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 6 1 3 2 11:9 6
13 Guijuelo 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
14 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
15 Turegano 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
17 Mirandes B 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)