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Turegano vs Mansilles

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gonzalez D.
36' Event
Celada R.
79' Event
Rodriguez S.

AI Match Summary

Mansilles in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mansilles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Turegano
30%
Draws
62%
Mansilles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mansilles lately — more wins on the board than Turegano.
  • Model gives Mansilles a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Turegano Clean Sheet 19%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turegano Mansilles
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 1 11
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Turegano vs Mansilles
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turegano Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mansilles Compare

Top Goalscorer Celada R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turegano 10 / 100
Mansilles 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turegano Mansilles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansilles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Turegano scored in 63% of their last 8 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Mansilles has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Turegano stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turegano VS Mansilles
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turegano

(Home)
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3
Guijuelo
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
30 Aug
CD Mojados
1 : 1
Turegano
01 Nov
Turegano
0 : 4
Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 2

Mansilles

(Away)
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 La Virgen 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Santa Marta Tormes 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
4 Leonesa B 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
5 Mansilles 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
6 Calasanz de Soria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
7 Almazan 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
8 Arandina 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Bembibre 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Palencia CA 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
11 Guijuelo 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
12 Palencia CF 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
14 Unionistas de Salamanca B 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Villaralbo 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
16 Mirandes B 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Turegano 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
18 Colegios Diocesanos 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)