Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turgutlu vs Bayrampasa

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turgutlu play Bayrampasa in the 3. Lig Group 2 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Turgutlu averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2 conceded. Bayrampasa averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Turgutlu won 1, Bayrampasa won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 20, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Turgutlu and 1.31 for Bayrampasa. This points to a Bayrampasa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Turgutlu
35%
Draws
35%
Bayrampasa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bayrampasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Turgutlu picked up more points recently compared to Bayrampasa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 18%
Bayrampasa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turgutlu Bayrampasa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 11
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 3. Lig Group 2
Bayrampasa vs Turgutlu
2:1
Dec 18, 2022 3. Lig Group 2
Turgutlu vs Bayrampasa
1:1
Mar 28, 2015 2. Lig White Group
Turgutlu vs Bayrampasa
6:0
Nov 15, 2014 2. Lig White Group
Bayrampasa vs Turgutlu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kot S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bayrampasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cam M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turgutlu 31 / 100
Bayrampasa 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turgutlu Bayrampasa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bayrampasa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turgutlu attacking → ← attacking Bayrampasa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turgutlu scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Bayrampasa let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Turgutlu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bayrampasa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 23
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Igdir FK32225570:2171
2Alanya 122132209359:2369
3Orduspor 196732199463:2966
4Karaman FK32198552:2465
5Ayvalikgucu321412646:2654
6Kusadasispor321312743:3151
7Eynesil3210111132:4241
8Bulvarspor329131036:3640
9Gumushanespor328131125:3337
1023 Elazig FK321071543:5837
11Kirikkale FK32991439:4936
12Turgutlu328101432:4534
13Ergene Velimese32881629:4332
14Darica Genclerbirligi325171029:4332
15Bayrampasa326111522:4429
16Ofspor32591824:4524
17Kahramanmarasspor32192211:6312