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Stadium Background

Turgutlu vs Bucaspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Yildirim Y.
63' Event
Aydin O.
82' Event
Cingirt G.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 game between Turgutlu and Bucaspor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turgutlu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Turgutlu
17%
Draws
13%
Bucaspor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Turgutlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Turgutlu's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Bucaspor have produced (0).
  • Win probability leans Turgutlu's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 18%
Bucaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turgutlu Bucaspor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Turgutlu vs Bucaspor
2:1
Dec 8, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
Bucaspor vs Turgutlu
0:3
Jan 10, 2013 Club Friendly
Bucaspor vs Turgutlu
1:1
Dec 7, 2008 TFF 2. Lig Group 2
Bucaspor vs Turgutlu
2:1
Oct 5, 2008 TFF 2. Lig Group 2
Turgutlu vs Bucaspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cingirt G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bucaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydin O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turgutlu 67 / 100
Bucaspor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turgutlu Bucaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucaspor let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Turgutlu's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Turgutlu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turgutlu VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Turgutlu

(Home)
26 Apr
Turgutlu
0 : 3
Izmir Coruhlu
20 Apr
Nigde
1 : 3
Turgutlu
13 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 3
Orduspor 1967
06 Apr
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Turgutlu
02 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
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Bucaspor

(Away)
04 May
Bucaspor
2 : 4
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
28 Apr
Turgutlu
2 : 1
Bucaspor
21 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 1
Golcukspor
14 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 1
Bucaspor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2
1461 Trabzon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayburt Ozel Idare34208648:2268
2Kocaelispor341771040:3158
3Karacabey Bld.341771045:4058
4Serik Spor341313839:3652
5Corum FK341571242:3252
6Turgutlu341471349:4749
724Erzincanspor341461445:3848
8Payasspor341461432:3748
9Beyoglu Yeni Carsi3411131040:4046
10Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)341291338:4045
11Muglaspor341191431:3342
12Cankaya FK349141137:3541
13Fatsa Bld.349131232:3640
14Cizrespor348161033:3940
15Golcukspor349131228:3240
161461 Trabzon348131331:3937
17Beykoz Ishakli Spor348111537:4835
18Bucaspor346101835:5728
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)