Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turgutlu vs Mardin 1969

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Teker A.
39' Event
Kirim A.
Own Goal
75' Event
Saridogan A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 game between Turgutlu and Mardin 1969 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mardin 1969.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Turgutlu
30%
Draws
29%
Mardin 1969
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turgutlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Turgutlu haven't matched Mardin 1969's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mardin 1969 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 19%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turgutlu Mardin 1969
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Mardin 1969 vs Turgutlu
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Turgutlu vs Mardin 1969
1:2
Oct 27, 2021 Turkish Cup
Turgutlu vs Mardin 1969
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turgutlu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Teker A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saridogan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turgutlu 32 / 100
Mardin 1969 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turgutlu Mardin 1969

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mardin 1969 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turgutlu's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Turgutlu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mardin 1969 let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mardin 1969
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Turgutlu

(Home)
26 Apr
Turgutlu
0 : 3
Izmir Coruhlu
20 Apr
Nigde
1 : 3
Turgutlu
13 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 3
Orduspor 1967
06 Apr
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Turgutlu
02 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
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Mardin 1969

(Away)
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
29 Aug
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Vanspor FK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)