Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2023/2024

Sapanca Genclikspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Turgutlu play Sapanca Genclikspor in the 3. Lig Group 2 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Turgutlu averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. Sapanca Genclikspor averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Turgutlu won 2, Sapanca Genclikspor won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 24, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Turgutlu and 1.31 for Sapanca Genclikspor. This points to a Turgutlu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Turgutlu

19%

Draws

34%

Sapanca Genclikspor

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Turgutlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Turgutlu picked up more points recently compared to Sapanca Genclikspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Turgutlu Clean Sheet 18%

Sapanca Genclikspor Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Turgutlu	Sapanca Genclikspor
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	7	5
Losses	19	18
Goals Scored	1.31	1.1
Goals Conceded	2.06	1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 3. Lig Group 2

Turgutlu vs Sapanca Genclikspor

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Nov 12, 2023 3. Lig Group 2

Sapanca Genclikspor vs Turgutlu

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydin A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Unal V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Sapanca Genclikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Pehlivan E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turgutlu 46 / 100

Sapanca Genclikspor 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Turgutlu Sapanca Genclikspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Turgutlu or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turgutlu attacking → ← attacking Sapanca Genclikspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turgutlu scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Sapanca Genclikspor let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Turgutlu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sapanca Genclikspor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 26

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Batman Petrolspor	28	17	9	2	54:19	60
2	Elazigspor	28	16	10	2	41:20	58
3	Karsiyaka	28	17	4	7	57:33	55
4	Turgutlu	28	14	5	9	42:35	47
5	Soke 1970	28	13	8	7	41:38	47
6	Eskisehir Anadolu	28	11	6	11	34:33	39
7	Silifke	28	10	4	14	29:39	34
8	Pazarspor	28	9	6	13	28:33	33
9	Amasyaspor	28	8	9	11	26:32	33
10	Bulvarspor	28	8	9	11	26:31	33
11	Ergene Velimese	28	8	8	12	29:35	32
12	Kelkit Bld.	28	8	7	13	28:35	31
13	Hacettepe 1945	28	8	5	15	25:32	29
14	Eynesil	28	8	3	17	23:49	24
15	Sapanca Genclikspor	28	6	5	17	30:49	20