Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turk Metal 1963 vs Erciyes 38

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Alkan Y.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Tuncay A. B.
Assist: Alkan Y.

AI Match Summary

Turk Metal 1963 host Erciyes 38 in the 3. Lig Group 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Turk Metal 1963 have averaged 0.88 scored and 3.13 conceded recently, against Erciyes 38's 1.75 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Erciyes 38 slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.94 - 2.44) back Erciyes 38 to edge this. Erciyes 38 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Turk Metal 1963
6%
Draws
90%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Erciyes 38 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Turk Metal 1963.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Erciyes 38.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. Lig Group 2 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Turk Metal 1963 Clean Sheet 10%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turk Metal 1963 Erciyes 38
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 3.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Turk Metal 1963 vs Erciyes 38
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Turk Metal 1963
2:1
Sep 4, 2025 Turkish Cup
Erciyes 38 vs Turk Metal 1963
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turk Metal 1963 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuncay A. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Erciyes 38 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turk Metal 1963 10 / 100
Erciyes 38 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turk Metal 1963 Erciyes 38

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turk Metal 1963 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Erciyes 38 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Turk Metal 1963 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Erciyes 38 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turk Metal 1963 VS Erciyes 38
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 Bingol Spor30179460:2860
2Erciyes 38301310742:3149
3Silifke301212641:2648
4Malatya30138945:3547
5Mazidagi301211732:2447
6Agri 197030129957:3345
7Karakopru301281038:4244
8Osmaniyespor301261242:4042
9Nigde301181144:3641
10Kirikkale FK301171239:5140
11Kirsehir SK307131037:3834
12Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)308101233:4234
13Kahramanmarasspor307111235:4832
14Kilis Bld.30861625:5330
15Suvermez Kapadokyaspor305131229:4728
16Turk Metal 1963304111530:5520