Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turkey U19 vs Italy U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Inacio S.
42'
Atsup R.
46'
Sub
Yasar E. In: Sen M.
Out: Yasar E.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2026 game between Turkey U19 and Italy U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Turkey U19
30%
Draws
33%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turkey U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Italy U19 come out ahead of Turkey U19 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Turkey U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkey U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U19
Turkey U19 vs Italy U19
1:1
Feb 9, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Turkey U19
1:0
Mar 30, 2016 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Turkey U19
2:2
May 24, 2013 Euro U19
Turkey U19 vs Italy U19
5:1
Mar 28, 2012 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Turkey U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkey U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soylu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Inacio S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkey U19 31 / 100
Italy U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkey U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkey U19 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Turkey U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Italy U19 has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turkey U19 VS Italy U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey U19

(Home)
31 Mar
Turkey U19
1 : 1
Italy U19
30 Mar
Kosovo U19
3 : 1
Turkey U19
28 Mar
Turkey U19
3 : 2
Hungary U19
27 Mar
Turkey U19
1 : 1
Armenia U19
25 Mar
Slovakia U19
0 : 1
Turkey U19
Page 1 of 6

Italy U19

(Away)
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
29 Jun
Italy U19
2 : 0
Serbia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Austria U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Greece U19 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Sweden U19 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U19 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 England U19 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Portugal U19 3 1 1 1 2:7 4
4 Poland U19 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 France U19 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Switzerland U19 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Norway U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Belgium U19 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Czech Republic U19 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Latvia U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Northern Ireland U19 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Romania U19 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Turkey U19 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Hungary U19 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Slovakia U19 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Netherlands U19 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Finland U19 3 1 0 2 1:7 3
4 Slovenia U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)