Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turkey U21 vs Croatia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Şenol Güneş Spor Kompleksi, Trabzon
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Gureler H.
37'
Aydin E.
62' Event
Gureler H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Turkey U21
11%
Draws
80%
Croatia U21
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Croatia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Croatia U21 have won more games recently than Turkey U21.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Croatia U21 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Croatia U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Turkey U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Croatia U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkey U21 Croatia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Turkey U21
3:0
Sep 9, 2025 Euro U21
Turkey U21 vs Croatia U21
1:1
Mar 26, 2021 Friendly International
Croatia U21 vs Turkey U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkey U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gureler H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Croatia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soticek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkey U21 11 / 100
Croatia U21 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkey U21 Croatia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkey U21 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Croatia U21 conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Turkey U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turkey U21 VS Croatia U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey U21

(Home)
03 Jun
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Kosovo U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
14 Nov
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Ukraine U21
14 Oct
Hungary U21
1 : 1
Turkey U21
Page 1 of 6

Croatia U21

(Away)
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
03 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 0
Qatar U23
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Hungary U21
0 : 2
Croatia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U21770026:221
2Finland U21751126:216
3Romania U2174128:413
4Kosovo U21722312:68
5Cyprus U2171065:243
6San Marino U2170070:390
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U21761028:019
2Czech Republic U21742115:314
3Scotland U21832318:1011
4Bulgaria U2173227:611
5Azerbaijan U2171335:186
6Gibraltar U2180081:370
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U21651021:416
2Switzerland U21742110:514
3Iceland U21732214:911
4Faroe Islands U2173046:139
5Luxembourg U2161147:144
6Estonia U2170258:212
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U21761018:219
2Slovakia U21751115:1016
3Ireland U2173227:1011
4Andorra U2182156:107
5Moldova U2181259:175
6Kazakhstan U2171154:104
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U21880023:224
2Italy U21870125:521
3Montenegro U21831411:1410
4Sweden U21831410:1910
5North Macedonia U2182067:176
6Armenia U2180084:230
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U21760122:418
2Greece U21760121:418
3Northern Ireland U2173138:1110
4Georgia U21723212:99
5Latvia U2171244:125
6Malta U2170071:280
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U21540112:412
2Bosnia & Herzegovina U2161412:17
3Israel U2161416:77
4Netherlands U2151227:85
5Slovenia U2161233:105
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U21541011:113
2Turkey U2163217:611
3Ukraine U21622210:78
4Hungary U2150326:93
5Lithuania U2160243:142
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U21531111:210
2Austria U2163127:710
3Denmark U21531112:510
4Wales U2162046:206
5Belarus U2161147:94
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)