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Turkey vs Belgium - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu, Izmir
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turkey host Belgium in the UEFA Nations League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Turkey have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.35 conceded recently, against Belgium's 2.47 scored and 1.06 conceded. Past meetings favor Belgium slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.19) point toward Belgium. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Turkey
15%
Draws
57%
Belgium
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belgium

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Turkey have managed 1.68 goals a game lately — Belgium are scoring more at 2.47.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Belgium taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Turkey Clean Sheet 10%
Belgium Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkey Belgium
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.68 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Belgium vs Turkey
3:0
Jun 3, 2011 Euro
Belgium vs Turkey
1:1
Oct 12, 2010 Friendly International
Turkey vs Belgium
0:0
Sep 7, 2010 Euro
Turkey vs Belgium
3:2
Oct 10, 2009 World Championship
Belgium vs Turkey
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkey 10 / 100
Belgium 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkey Belgium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkey's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Belgium has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Belgium lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turkey VS Belgium
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey

(Home)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0
Turkey
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1
France
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
Page 1 of 7

Belgium

(Away)
05 Oct
France
4 : 1
Belgium
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0
Turkey
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1
France
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 3 3 0 0 10:4 9
2 England 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Croatia 3 1 0 2 3:12 3
4 Czech Republic 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)