Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli

Turkey

4 - 1

Georgia

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Yildiz K.

Assist: Bardakci A.

22'

Demiral M.

Assist: Calhanoglu H.

35'

Akgun Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Turkey and Georgia finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turkey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Turkey

20%

Draws

38%

Georgia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turkey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Turkey carry the better recent record into this one.
42% — that's where the model lands on Turkey taking it.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Turkey here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Turkey Clean Sheet 19%

Georgia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Turkey	Georgia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	18	13
Draws	4	6
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.8	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.19	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Turkey vs Georgia

4:1

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Georgia vs Turkey

2:3

Jun 18, 2024 Euro

Turkey vs Georgia

3:1

May 24, 2012 Friendly International

Georgia vs Turkey

1:3

Feb 7, 2007 Friendly International

Georgia vs Turkey

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkey Compare

Top Goalscorer Demiral M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Yildiz K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.68

Avg xA / game 1.09

Georgia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kochorashvili G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkey 67 / 100

Georgia 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Turkey Georgia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkey Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Turkey's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Georgia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Turkey has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turkey VS Georgia

2.5 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey

(Home)

26 Jun

Turkey

3 : 2

USA

20 Jun

Turkey

0 : 1

Paraguay

14 Jun

Australia

2 : 0

Turkey

06 Jun

Venezuela

1 : 2

Turkey

01 Jun

Turkey

4 : 0

North Macedonia

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Georgia

(Away)

05 Jun

Georgia

2 : 0

Bahrain

02 Jun

Georgia

1 : 1

Romania

29 Mar

Lithuania

0 : 2

Georgia

26 Mar

Georgia

2 : 2

Israel

18 Nov

Bulgaria

2 : 1

Georgia

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