Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

Turkey

3 - 2

USA

Our Tip

Match Events

Trusty A.

Assist: Berhalter S.

10'

Guler A.

Assist: Yilmaz B.

19'

Berhalter S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Turkey in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turkey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Turkey

15%

Draws

42%

USA

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turkey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Turkey lately — more wins on the board than USA.
43% — that's where the model lands on Turkey taking it.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Turkey Clean Sheet 15%

USA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Turkey	USA
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	18	17
Draws	4	1
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.8	1.87
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 World Championship

Turkey vs USA

3:2

Jun 7, 2025 Friendly International

USA vs Turkey

1:2

Jun 1, 2014 Friendly International

USA vs Turkey

2:1

May 29, 2010 Friendly International

USA vs Turkey

2:1

Jun 19, 2003 FIFA Confederations Cup

Turkey vs USA

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkey Compare

Top Goalscorer Guler A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yilmaz B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

USA Compare

Top Goalscorer Trusty A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Berhalter S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkey 39 / 100

USA 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Turkey USA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkey Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Turkey's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

USA has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Turkey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turkey VS USA

1.5 Goals Scored 2.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey

(Home)

26 Jun

Turkey

3 : 2

USA

20 Jun

Turkey

0 : 1

Paraguay

14 Jun

Australia

2 : 0

Turkey

06 Jun

Venezuela

1 : 2

Turkey

01 Jun

Turkey

4 : 0

North Macedonia

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USA

(Away)

07 Jul

USA

1 : 4

Belgium

02 Jul

USA

2 : 0

Bosnia & Herzegovina

26 Jun

Turkey

3 : 2

USA

19 Jun

USA

2 : 0

Australia

13 Jun

USA

4 : 1

Paraguay

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