Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Murtaza I.
Assist: Abdrakhmanov A.
17'
17'
Isaev S.
Assist: Saydulla N.
24'
24'
Shen M.
Assist: Duysenbek S.
AI Match Summary
The First League 2025 game between Turkistan and Kairat Almaty 2 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kairat Almaty 2 come out ahead of Turkistan on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Kairat Almaty 2 taking it.
- Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Kairat Almaty 2 have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Turkistan Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Turkistan | Kairat Almaty 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 21 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 25 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.5 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.50 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2025 First League
Turkistan vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:4
Jul 11, 2025 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Turkistan
6:1
Sep 12, 2024 First League
Turkistan vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:4
May 30, 2024 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Turkistan
5:1
Oct 7, 2023 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Turkistan
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Turkistan Compare
Top Goalscorer Isaev S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Kairat Almaty 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Murtaza I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Turkistan 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Turkistan Kairat Almaty 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Turkistan scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Kairat Almaty 2 conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Turkistan VS Kairat Almaty 2
0.5 Goals Scored 3
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Turkistan
(Home) 24 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
3 : 0 Turkistan
17 Oct
Turkistan
1 : 4 Kairat Almaty 2
02 Oct
Aktobe 2
3 : 0 Turkistan
25 Sept
Turkistan
1 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
19 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
6 : 1 Turkistan
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Turkistan
1 : 4 Kairat Almaty 2
25 Sept
Turkistan
1 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
Turkistan
1 : 0 Khan Tengri
15 Aug
Turkistan
0 : 4 Kaspij Aktau
01 Aug
Turkistan
1 : 1 Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 3
Kairat Almaty 2
(Away) 24 Jul
Aktobe 2
0 : 4 Kairat Almaty 2
17 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
6 : 0 Kaspij Aktau 2
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4 Kairat Almaty 2
03 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1 Taraz
25 Jun
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 0 Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 7
24 Jul
Aktobe 2
0 : 4 Kairat Almaty 2
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4 Kairat Almaty 2
18 Jun
FC Astana 2
2 : 3 Kairat Almaty 2
26 May
Arys
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty 2
15 May
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 3 Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 74:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 71:20 | 61 |
| 3 | Altai | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:23 | 55 |
| 4 | Shakhter Karagandy | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 61:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Zhetisay | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 44:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 58:42 | 40 |
| 7 | Akademiya Ontustik | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 44:44 | 39 |
| 8 | Taraz | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:38 | 35 |
| 9 | AKAS | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 42:39 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Ekibastuz | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 36:60 | 28 |
| 11 | SD Family | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 33:75 | 23 |
| 12 | Khan Tengri | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Aktobe 2 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 34:65 | 16 |
| 14 | Turkistan | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 16:80 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
