Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026

Paloma

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg play Paloma in the Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Turkiye Wilhelmsburg averaged 1.83 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. Paloma averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Turkiye Wilhelmsburg won 1, Paloma won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Turkiye Wilhelmsburg and 2.69 for Paloma. This points to a Paloma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

23%

Draws

55%

Paloma

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg picked up more points recently compared to Paloma.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Paloma Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Turkiye Wilhelmsburg	Paloma
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	16
Draws	6	5
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	1.83	2.43
Goals Conceded	3.1	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Paloma

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 3 - 0

0:6

Dec 4, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg

Paloma vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg

Paloma vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

4:2

Oct 5, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Paloma

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Apr 20, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Paloma

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 4 - 4

6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 22 / 100

Paloma 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Paloma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paloma Win (2)

Secondary Pick Paloma & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg attacking → ← attacking Paloma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Paloma let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Paloma lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 53

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75