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Turkmenistan U21 vs Finland U21

World World

CIS Cup 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turkmenistan U21 play Finland U21 in the CIS Cup 2015. Finland U21 are favorites here. Recently, Turkmenistan U21 averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.05 conceded. Finland U21 averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Turkmenistan U21 won 0, Finland U21 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 23, 2015 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Turkmenistan U21 and 1.61 for Finland U21. This points to a Finland U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Turkmenistan U21
19%
Draws
57%
Finland U21
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Turkmenistan U21 picked up more points recently compared to Finland U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Turkmenistan U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkmenistan U21 Finland U21
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 4 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.9 2.31
Goals Conceded 2.05 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2015 CIS Cup
Turkmenistan U21 vs Finland U21
0:4
Jan 17, 2015 CIS Cup
Finland U21 vs Turkmenistan U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkmenistan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Finland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hatakka D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hovi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkmenistan U21 24 / 100
Finland U21 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkmenistan U21 Finland U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Finland U21 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turkmenistan U21 attacking → ← attacking Finland U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkmenistan U21 scored in 60% of their last 20 games.

Finland U21 let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Turkmenistan U21 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Finland U21 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 57
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25