Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turkmenistan U23 vs Thailand U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2010
Tue, Nov 16, 2010
0 - 1
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turkmenistan U23 play Thailand U23 in the Asian Games 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Turkmenistan U23 averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Thailand U23 averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Turkmenistan U23 won 0, Thailand U23 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 16, 2010 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.90 for Turkmenistan U23 and 1.69 for Thailand U23. This points to a Thailand U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Turkmenistan U23
20%
Draws
44%
Thailand U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thailand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Turkmenistan U23 picked up more points recently compared to Thailand U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.90 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Turkmenistan U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkmenistan U23 Thailand U23
Matches Played 22 33
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2010 Asian Games
Turkmenistan U23 vs Thailand U23
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkmenistan U23 35 / 100
Thailand U23 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkmenistan U23 Thailand U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thailand U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turkmenistan U23 attacking → ← attacking Thailand U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkmenistan U23 scored in 59% of their last 22 games.

Thailand U23 let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Turkmenistan U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Thailand U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 34
2.67 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13