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Turks and Caicos Islands vs United States Virgin Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Beljour J.
90'
Sylvain W.
90'
Greene K.

AI Match Summary

Turks and Caicos Islands in this CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turks and Caicos Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Turks and Caicos Islands
40%
Draws
29%
United States Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Turks and Caicos Islands have won more games recently than United States Virgin Islands.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • United States Virgin Islands have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 16%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turks and Caicos Islands United States Virgin Islands
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2025 Friendly International
United States Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
2:1
Mar 25, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs United States Virgin Islands
1:0
Jun 6, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Beljour J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turks and Caicos Islands 31 / 100
United States Virgin Islands 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turks and Caicos Islands United States Virgin Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: United States Virgin Islands conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

United States Virgin Islands's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Turks and Caicos Islands's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Turks and Caicos Islands VS United States Virgin Islands
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sint Maarten632119:911
2Bonaire631212:1110
3Turks and Caicos Islands630310:169
4United States Virgin Islands61145:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Kitts and Nevis43109:410
2Aruba41125:54
3Saint Martin40222:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Lucia44008:212
2Anguilla40222:52
3Dominica40222:52
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puerto Rico440017:212
2Cayman Islands40223:102
3British Virgin Islands40223:112