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Turris vs Gravina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H Stadio Amerigo Liguori, Torre del Greco
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AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Turris and Gravina finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Turris
30%
Draws
51%
Gravina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gravina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Turris Clean Sheet 22%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turris Gravina
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 1 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.65 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Turris vs Gravina
0:0
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Turris vs Gravina
2:0
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Turris
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turris 32 / 100
Gravina 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turris Gravina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gravina conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Turris stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Turris scored in 50% of their last 20 games.

Scoring Trends

Turris VS Gravina
0.8 Goals Scored 1.5
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.75
20% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Turris

(Home)
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3
Martina Calcio
28 Feb
Giugliano
3 : 1
Turris
22 Feb
Turris
1 : 2
Cavese
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Gravina

(Away)
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
26 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 6
Gravina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Bisceglie 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Gravina 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
4 Turris 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Real Normanna 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 Real Forio 2014 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
7 Nocerina 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
8 Martina Calcio 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
9 San Felice Gladiator 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
10 Manfredonia 4 1 2 1 7:5 5
11 A.C.D. Nardo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Palmese 1914 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
13 Melfi 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
14 Ebolitana 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
15 Francavilla 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
16 Brindisi 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
17 Ischia 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
18 Fidelis Andria 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)